Seasonal Strength

Seasonal Strength

Disclaimer: Your capital is at risk. This is not investment advice.

ByteFolio Issue 126;

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This issue covers Near (NEAR), Solana (SOL), Aave (AAVE), Fantom (FTM), and Reserve Rights (RSR).

The big rally is coming, so say the tea leaves. It ought to be Bitcoin first and the altcoins later. The Bitcoin price has rallied in preparation for a breakout, yet there’s always that chance of a false dawn. The network has recovered to $52 billion of transaction value each week, compared to $40 billion at the summer low and $90 billion back in March. Things are picking up, albeit slowly.

Bitcoin Network Value

Source: Bloomberg

In 2020, the network was settled at around $16 billion per week of on-chain transaction activity before the monument breakout. It stalled at $20k, the 2017 all-time high, for a few weeks in November before surging to $40k in January. It was one hell of a move, and after four long years, the setup is here again.

Bitcoin Network Value – 2020 Breakout

Source: Bloomberg

The network is stable after the fourth Bitcoin halving in April (the 2020 halving was in May). The chart is looking better, and investors are steadily accumulating. Maybe a falling dollar will help too.

A Weak Dollar Can Boost Bitcoin

Source: Bloomberg

Things are improving for altcoins as well. The red skies have practically disappeared, meaning that few altcoins are still in a bear market. In fact, the majority (light blue to blue) have a ByteTrend score of 3 or better in USD, which means the outlook is much improved.

The Crypto Market Is Strengthening in USD

Source: ByteTrend.io