Sign in Subscribe

aaa

No Free Lunch

No Free Lunch

AAA: November Edition; Most stock markets rallied last month. On average, the rally was of 16% but after it was over they are all still down 10% this year to date. The rally is not the start of a new bull move but a bear market rally. It will probably

Omnishambles

Omnishambles

AAA: October Edition; The World is in a mess and the Global equity bear market rages on. The situation in the United Kingdom is a complete and utter omnishambles. Ending the chaos and restoring credibility is a herculean task. Cuts will have to be made and a return to a

Pain is the Policy

Pain is the Policy

AAA: September Edition; The Fed has admitted they have to inflict pain to quash inflation, even if the price is higher rates, a US recession and rising unemployment. The global equity bear market is not over. Markets have failed to break out of the descending channel in place since the

Don't Poke The Bear

Don't Poke The Bear

AAA: August Edition; Since mid-June, World equity market indices have been rallying over hopes that the US Federal Reserve would ease up on rate hikes. However, the Fed’s speech at Jackson Hole made it clear this will not happen anytime soon. Investors have got the message, and the equity

Survival Strategy

Survival Strategy

AAA: July Edition; In the past, the Adaptive Asset Allocation (AAA) model has always tried to make money by owning the strongest trending asset classes. We rate the assets on both absolute and relative strength. Most of the time the model has been fully invested, and it has also not

The Magic Bullet

The Magic Bullet

AAA: June Edition; We know the Adaptive Asset Allocation (AAA) Model (formerly the ALPH4 Model) has added value this year. It is up 20% compared to the S&P 500 index, down 18% priced in USD and 10% in GBP terms. That is excellent relative performance. We normally aim